RC
Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. (REYN)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 revenue was $938M, up $8M YoY and a clear beat vs S&P Global consensus $902.7M; Adjusted EPS of $0.39 also modestly beat consensus $0.375, while diluted GAAP EPS was $0.35 . Estimates values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- Adjusted EBITDA of $163M landed at the high end of management’s $155–$165M guide, as SG&A reductions offset gross profit pressure from input cost inflation and pricing timing .
- FY 2025 outlook reiterated: net revenues down low-single digits, Adjusted EBITDA $650–$670M, Adjusted EPS $1.54–$1.61; Q3 2025 guide calls for Adjusted EBITDA $160–$170M and Adjusted EPS $0.37–$0.41 .
- Segment performance mixed: Hefty Waste & Storage volumes +6% with continued innovation (Fabuloso, Press to Close), while Tableware declined on foam weakness; non-retail (aluminum) sales rose to $51M, supporting revenue growth .
- Tactical catalysts: ongoing price actions to fully recover commodity/tariff cost headwinds (2–4 pts), revenue growth management programs, and innovation in cooking and sustainable tableware; management emphasized brand pricing power and stable promo backdrop .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Share and volume gains in Hefty waste bags and store brand food bags; retail volume +6% in Waste & Storage, with strong traction from Hefty Fabuloso waste bags and Press to Close food bags . “We gained share in multiple areas including Hefty waste bags, private label food bags, and Hefty party cups” .
- Adjusted EBITDA at the high end of the guide, supported by SG&A reductions despite cost inflation and pricing lag; CFO: “Second quarter adjusted EBITDA of $163 million was at the high end of our range” .
- Non-retail (aluminum) revenues increased $12M to $51M, aiding overall net revenues; Cooking & Baking revenues +$4M with higher non-retail mix .
What Went Wrong
- Gross profit declined to $226M (vs $256M YoY), with pressure from elevated aluminum and tariff impacts and the timing of pricing recovery; management expects pricing to fully recover cost increases but phasing weighed on Q2 .
- Tableware segment down on foam: Net Revenues -$9M to $242M and Adjusted EBITDA -$4M to $35M, as foam declines continued to pressure mix .
- Adjusted EBITDA fell YoY to $163M (vs $172M), driven by lower retail volume and input cost timing; adjusted EPS normalized excludes non-recurring items (CEO transition, strategic initiatives) .
Financial Results
Quarterly trend vs prior quarter
Year-over-year comparison (Q2)
Actual vs S&P Global consensus (Q2 2025)
Estimates values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Segment breakdown (revenues and profitability)
KPIs and balance sheet
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO perspective: “We are executing well in a challenging operating environment while also investing in the long-term potential of our business… implementing programs to drive additional growth, margin and returns” . “We gained share in multiple areas including Hefty waste bags, private label food bags, and Hefty party cups… innovation remained a major contributor” .
- Cost and pricing cadence: CFO noted “Second quarter adjusted EBITDA of $163 million was at the high end of our range… lower retail volume and timing of pricing actions relative to input cost increases were partially offset by reductions in SG&A” . He reiterated full recovery of increased commodity and tariff costs via pricing over the year .
- Strategy and investments: “Onshoring of production of smaller product offerings… revenue growth management… trialing replanned promotions… Hefty ECOSAVE Cutlery… proprietary technology from Atacama” .
Q&A Highlights
- Capital deployment priorities: multi-year automation pipeline; incremental opportunities to onshore manufacturing of smaller imported categories .
- Gross margin trajectory: majority of YoY gross profit decline tied to timing of price recovery vs cost increase; expect better gross profit in Q3 with similar EBITDA to Q2 guide .
- Promotional environment: trash category promotions broadly consistent with prior year; share gains not driven by stepped-up promos .
- Tariff headwind sizing: still ~2–4 percentage points in 2025; aluminum now a larger component as tariff rates settled lower; net headwind consistent with April view .
- Destocking: neutral in Q2; Q1 destocking viewed as a one-week supply reduction persisting through year but not worsening .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025 beat: Revenue $938M vs consensus $902.7M*; Adjusted/Primary EPS $0.39 vs consensus $0.375*; 6 revenue estimates and 7 EPS estimates contributed to consensus.* Actuals match company-reported figures . Estimates values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- FY 2025 consensus EPS is $1.631*, modestly above the company’s $1.54–$1.61 guide midpoint, implying potential downward revisions if cost recovery slips or if elasticities weigh on volumes more than planned.* Estimates values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Revenue and EPS beats alongside reiterated full-year guidance support the near-term narrative of pricing power and disciplined cost control despite commodity/tariff headwinds .
- Expect sequential price realization to improve margin trajectory into H2 as implemented pricing fully offsets 2–4 pts of cost inflation; monitor gross profit recovery pace vs guidance .
- Mixed segment backdrop continues: Waste & Storage strength (innovation, share gains) offsets foam-driven Tableware pressure; watch foam mix and operational cost trends .
- Non-retail aluminum sales provide a helpful revenue lever but can amplify exposure to aluminum pricing; track store brand foil pricing gap narrowing as a competitive dynamic .
- Strategic initiatives (RGM, automation, onshoring) are likely to underpin structural margin expansion beyond 2025; capex is ramping to fund high-return projects .
- Channel shifts to club and online reflect value-seeking behavior, particularly among lower-income demographics; RCP’s price-pack architecture and distribution gains align with this trend .
- Dividend maintained at $0.23/sh, supported by leverage at 2.4x and solid YTD operating cash flow; balance sheet flexibility allows investment and shareholder returns concurrently .
Estimates values retrieved from S&P Global.*